Questions tagged [minimum-variance]

25 questions
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Optimal importance sampling with ratio estimator

We want to approximate the following expectation: $$\mathbb{E}[h(x)] = \int h(x)\pi(x) dx$$ Where $h(x)$ is an arbitrary function and $\pi(x)$ is a distribution, also for simplicity, let's assume that we actually know the normalizing constant for…
fairidox
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Methods of Proving that a UMVUE does not exist?

Are there efficient methods of showing when a UMVUE does not exist? I can think of the trivial case when no unbiased estimators exist at all. But that's not really interesting. I feel like this would be difficult because there could be infinitely…
4
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How is this minimum variance worked out for this importance sampling estimator?

I was stuck with the function 17.13 in the open source book deep learning on page 590. For short, the question is that, For the importance sampling estimator: $$\hat s_q = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1, x^{i}\sim…
4
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1 answer

Minimum-variance unbiased linear estimator

Suppose that it is known that the mean of RV $X_i$ is $\mu_i\theta$, (i = 1, 2,..., n), where $\mu_i$ are known constants, whereas $\theta$ is unknown. Let $\Sigma$ be the variance matrix of the random vector $X = \left[X_1, X_2,\ldots,…
Dony
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Error in Derivation for Control Variate Variance?

I'm trying to derive the variance for a control variate estimator, but I seem to be missing a term that allows me to end up with the covariance in the final answer. Let $f(x)$ be my function and let $h(x)$ be my control variate with $x \sim p(x)$.…
Rylan Schaeffer
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Good parameter estimates vs good computed moment estimates

Suppose I have a distribution from a known parametric family f(x; θ). I have a sample from that distribution. From the sample, I estimate values for the parameters. Suppose I have estimators that I know to have some desirable property. For instance,…
3
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Are MVUEs and MLEs always functions of a minimal sufficient statistic?

Is it the case that both minimum variance unbiased estimators (MVUEs) and maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) are always functions of a minimal sufficient statistic? If so, how do we know? If not, what are some exceptions or what are some ways that…
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A Proof of Tukey's Inequality

Suppose that $W_1,W_2,...,W_n$ are uncorrelated unbiased estimators of a parameter $\theta$. Consider $W=\sum_{i=1}^na_iW_i$ such that $E(W)=\theta$ and $Var(W_i)=\sigma^2_i$, where the $a_i$'s are constants. So it is trivial to see that…
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How does one can guarantee that any unbiased estimator is MVUE due to it containing a minimal sufficient statistic?

Sufficiency is okay. But I don't really get it why the fact guarantees it has minimal variance? Can anyone explain to me somewhat intuitively?
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1 answer

Experimental Design: Choose Data Points to Minimize Quadratic Term Variance in Multiple Regression

$\newcommand{\eps}{\varepsilon}\newcommand{\szdp}[1]{\!\left(#1\right)} \newcommand{\szdb}[1]{\!\left[#1\right]}$ Problem Statement: Suppose that you wish to fit a model $$Y=\beta_0+\beta_1x+\beta_2x^2+\eps$$ to a set of $n$ data points. If the $n$…
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How to find an minimum variance unbiased estimator for an integer parameter?

Consider multiple observations $x[n]$ for an integer parameter $A$ under White Gaussian Noise $w[n]$: $x[n]=A+w[n]; \quad$ $n=0,1,...,N−1$ with $w[n] \sim N(0,σ^2)$. Is it possible to have an minimum variance unbiased estimator for the integer…
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Rao-Blackwell for Minimum-Variance Unbiased Estimator

Let $X$ be an observation from a distribution with probability mass function:$f(x;\theta) = \left(\frac{\theta}{2}\right)^{|x|}(1-\theta)^{1-|x|}I_{\{-1,0,1\}}(x), \, \theta \in (0,1).$ Use Rao-Blackwell theorem to find the Minimum-Variance…
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Understanding Rao-Blackwell

From Casella and Berger: Let $W$ be an unbiased estimator of $\tau(\theta)$ and let $T$ be a sufficient statistics for $\theta$. Define $\phi(T) = E[W|T]$. Then $E_{\theta}[ \phi(T)] = \tau(\theta)$ and $Var_{\theta} ( \phi(T)) \leq Var_{\theta}…
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Better to Minimize Absolute Error or Sum of Squared Error?

I have an Excel model which predicts the number of customers for a given month. The prediction depends on a churn rate. I have the absolute error (actual vs predicted), along with squared error and sum of square error. My question is: Would it…
alexsmith2
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How to measure how "good" or accurate a probability distribution is? Entropy, variance or what?

How can one measure the accuracy of the probability distribution of, say, a physical magnitude? I know one good candidate is the entropy, which measures the amount of information one has about the system---cf. Appendix A of Ref. [E. Jaynes, Physical…
Godoy
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