I am trying to model covid 19 infected number of cases, given current data in my region, the number of infected people is a graph with 3 peaks, is it possible for an SIR model to incorporate this? I am completely new to SIR modelling and currently everything I have seen are just infectious curves with 1 peak, this is pretty useless to me. I've been following the guide for SIR modelling on rpubs as seen here: https://rpubs.com/choisy/sir
I decided to introduce a new variable mu to determine when social distancing and mask mandates have been introduced but that did not help me either. I am starting to think an SIR model would be pointless for modelling this type of data. For insight, the data has 3 local maximas, one at time 85, one at time 350, and the final and largest maxima at time 450.
Any help would be appreciated, thanks.
