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I am working on an instrumental variable application using clinical data. We will use a so-called preference-based instrument. We may include this as a continuous variable. With a continous instrument, we can obtain the average marginal treatment effect (AMTE). I am having some trouble translating this from the standard econometrics jargon to a clinically relevant formulation that clinicians may find meaningful and intuitive.

I've seen several formulations, but they all rely on understanding the specific use of "marginal" in this context. I have studied economics, and I'm used to thinking of the marginal effect as the change in outcome given a one unit change in the independent variable. (In statistics, I know it can refer to the unconditional mean.) However, in the context of AMTE with a continuous instrument, categorical treatment and outcome, I am unsure how it can be described in more layman terms. I've seen several formulations, e.g.

  1. "This is the effect of a treatment on the marginal individual entering treatment" (Meghir, 2009)
  2. MTE is "...the difference between the treated potential outcome and the untreated potential outcome for an individual marginal to selecting into treatment ... " (Kowalski, 2016)
  3. "MTE is therefore defined as a continuum of treatment effects along the full distribution of $U_{D}$ (the individual unobserved characteristic that drives treatment decisions)." (Cornelissen et al., 2016)
  4. By this description, local IV curves seem to be related or synonymous: "local IV (LIV) curves, i.e. effects among units who would comply right at a given threshold value of the instrument." (Kennedy et al. 2018)

I'll add that there is at least one more seemingly related post that goes into average and marginal treatment effect. I think Meghir's formulation could be what I'm after, but it hinges on understanding "the marginal individual".

kjetil b halvorsen
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