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When working with (gaussian) mixture models, I always took it for a mathematical fact that the marginal likelihood increases with every iteration step. If it were not the case, it always meant an error in the code or some other technical problem.

I am now experimenting with Dirichlet mixture models, where the maximization step is done numerically. One is then not guaranteed to find the absolute maximum of the expected likelihood, so intuitively non-monotonous increase of the marginal likelihood seems not fully disallowed. And I do see it in my simulations.

Is this known behavior? Or are there mathematical results showing that the likelihood should still increase monotonically?

I will appreciate help from experienced people.

Remark: (Two weeks on) I did find an error in my DMM code, but I think the question still stands.

Roger Vadim
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