I am following the news in a country (which I will leave unnamed) where I am currently on holiday.
Same as in a related question I asked last year, I find myself completely baffled and dumbfounded by the way Covid data are reported.
Every single day, the daily number of cases (= people who tested positive out of $N$ tested, where $N$ changes every day, and the sampled population is biased and also varies every day) is reported and portrayed as the relevant parameter that gauges the severity of the situation.
Much worse, a while ago they started reporting this number in comparison with the same number at the same date last year, e.g. number of positive cases on 1st Dec 2020 vs 1st Dec 2021 (with absolutely no regard to either the percentage of positives the number meant, or the position in the curve).
Initially, I believe, this was done as a (rather disingenuous, or perhaps just very misguided) attempt to show 'how much better' the country was doing this year compared to last year, thanks to the vaccines; but more recently with the numbers rising and more tests being administered, the plan obviously backfired.
And indeed, sure enough, after this inconvenient truth emerged, they started mentioning percentages of positives and the fact that the number of tests is much larger.
However, as far as I can tell, even the percentage is still largely irrelevant if compared just based on calendar dates, as there is nothing forcing the infection curve to have the same shape or to start and end on the same dates every year, is there?
I don't know, I may be wrong, as I am neither a professional statistician nor an epidemiologist. Hence my question to this community: what, if any, is the relevance of comparing absolute numbers of positive cases between identical calendar dates?.
And if this is not relevant, what would be the correct/recommended method to compare the severity of an epidemiological event at two separate times?.
Frankly I find rather disappointing and depressing that 2 years into this pandemic there should still be so much ignorance and approximation in the official information the public is given about it. Surely this does not reinforce people's trust in the authorities or what they are doing to tackle the situation.
EDIT: addendum after further 'news'
Regrettably enough, my remarks, which may have sounded cynical, were confirmed.
On a particular day, the percentage of positive cases shot up to about 22% (it was 12% the previous day).
'Explanation' given by the newsreader: "BUT this was based on a much smaller number of tests".
Wrong on so many levels... how is this 'informing' the public?
Either they establish that the percentage of positives is an important parameter that determines public health measures, and go with it regardless of whether it's good or bad, or they ignore it and never even mention it. What's the consistency of presenting as valid only those results that 'agree' with a preconceived view of the situation, and instead dismissing by bizarre, statistically wrong arguments any results that don't match what one wants to prove?
Also, strong oscillations in the percentage of positives have been observed since the beginning of these measurements (in many other countries, weekly averages are reported); and indeed, the next day the percentage dropped again from 22% to 15%. But no, somehow this is still stubbornly, obtusely not understood; or at least, the public is still idiotically being fed this 'infections going up' and 'infections going down' nonsense, every single day... :7