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I am searching the name of something similar to a binomial distribution, but with individual probabilities (P(1) to P(N)).

I calculated (brute-forced with a script) the probability of k positive outcomes of N binary events of known (different) probabilities the following way:

Once N individual probabilities (for N binary events) were estimated, the exact probability of k observed positive outcomes in a distribution of all N+1 possible combined outcomes (totals), was calculated as the sum over all possible binary combinations (2N) with outcome k, each multiplied by the product of all N individual probabilities of the combined outcome.

Does this 'algorithm' have a name? How would this be written as a formula?

I am searching for something like: Probability of outcome K = Formula

kjetil b halvorsen
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KaPy3141
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1 Answers1

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This is called the Poisson-Binomial distribution. See Efficiently computing poisson binomial sum and search this site!

Ben
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kjetil b halvorsen
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