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Fisher wrote:

"the theory of inverse probability is founded upon an error, and must be wholly rejected"

I wonder what was Fisher's reasoning and what error he means in particular.

The quote is from "Statistical methods for research workers" (Fisher 1925) but I don't have access to that book, and what I found from Fisher from that time uses terminology which I am not acquainted with (e.g. "inverse probability" referring to bayesian methods).

January
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    You may be interested in reading this https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ba/1340370565 – Tim Oct 09 '18 at 14:46
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    Can you please edit your post to include the source of the quote? (You may actually find Fisher's reasoning at the same place.) – Stephan Kolassa Oct 09 '18 at 14:47
  • @StephanKolassa I quote it after "Scientific rethinking" by Richard McElreath. The quote is from a book published in 1925 to which I have no access ("Statistical methods for research workers"). – January Oct 10 '18 at 12:31
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    @Tim Yes, I have seen that publication, but I find it incomprehensible. Half of the time I don't know what the author means. I think it requires knowing intimately the works of Fisher, which I don't. – January Oct 10 '18 at 12:33
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    Fisher was brilliant about so many things. This is not one of them. – Frank Harrell Oct 10 '18 at 15:22

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