2

Study

Longitudinal study of forest GrowthRates across time.

  • 28 plots across 80 years, ~14 samples for each plot.

Current model:

lmer(GrowthRate ~ I(Year-1970) * factor(PlotType) + (1 + I(Year-1970)|Plot), data = dat)

Purpose

Determine the annual change in my response variable, GrowthRate.

  • In other words, has GrowthRate increased through time?

Problem

I need to account for other variables by adding them to my model. Specifically, my plots vary in age, which likely plays a significant affect on the trend I see.

  • Older plots are theoretically going to have different growth rates vs younger plots.

As a result, I need to account for the effects of age to focus in an actual temporal trend.

Question

Given that Year and Age are almost certainly strongly colinear, how could I incorporate Age into my model?

  • Thoughts: perhaps I could add an "initial age" variable to try to capture this effect? Would this work, or would this simply be repeating effects captured by my Plot ID structuring?

  • What's the best (or any appropriate) way to go about isolating the actual annual trend (i.e., the estimate for Year) from trend effects due to plot age?

theforestecologist
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