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In order to obtain simultaneous confidence intervals for combinations of the mean $\mathbf{a'\mu}$, where $\mathbf{a,\mu} \in \mathbb{R}^p$, from a sample of n iid normal random variables $\mathbf{x_i}$~$N(\mathbf{\mu}, \Sigma)$, we use the following procedure: $$t^2=\frac{n(\mathbf{a'}(\mathbf{\overline{x}-\mu}))^2}{\mathbf{a'Sa}}$$

$$Pr(t^2 \le c,\forall \mathbf{a} \in \mathbb{R}^p)=Pr(\max_\mathbf{a \in \mathbb{R}^p}t^2\le c)=Pr(T^2\le c)$$

where $T^2$ is the Hotelling statistic. Under the null hypothesis $\mathcal{H}_0$, the scaled Hotelling Statistic is distributed as $\frac{n-p}{n-1} T^2 \sim F_{p,n-p}$. If we choose $c=\frac{(n-1)F_{p,n-p}(\alpha)}{n-p} $, where $F_{p,n-p}(\alpha)$ is the upper $\alpha$-percentile of the Fisher distribution, we obtain that $Pr(T^2 \le c)=1-\alpha$. Thus $Pr(t^2\le \frac{(n-1)F_{p,n-p}(\alpha)}{n-p}, \forall \mathbf{a} \in \mathbb{R}^p )=1-\alpha$. So all the statements obtained when varying $\mathbf{a}$ in $\mathbb{R}^p$ hold simultaneously with probability $1-\alpha$, i.e we found infinite confidence intervals the intersection of which contains all the possible combinations of the mean vector. I'm not sure about this last conclusion. My doubt is: may I take only $p$ independent vectors $a \in \mathbb{R}^p$ in order to have simultaneous confidence intervals of "global" confidence level $1-\alpha$. If yes how can I prove it? I tried to prove that if the inequalities hold for $p$ independent vectors, they hold even for their linear combinations but couldn't do that.

Giacomo
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  • This question is confusing because it isn't clear what $\mathbf{a}$ might be. Is it a finite set of vectors of interest to you? Your writing suggests otherwise; but if $\mathbb{a}$ can range over $\mathbb{R}^p$, then the question makes no sense, because as $|\mathbf{a}|$ approaches $0$, $t^2$ diverges, and as $\mathbf a$ diverges, $t^2$ approaches $0,$ leaving you with just a single point in your "simultaneous confidence interval." – whuber Apr 19 '18 at 19:37
  • I'm sorry, I've forgotten the square. Now there shouldn't be issues when |a| goes to 0. – Giacomo Apr 19 '18 at 20:21
  • or to infinity* – Giacomo Apr 19 '18 at 20:39

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