$X$ and $Y$ arise from observations contaminated by i.i.d. additive Gaussian noise $\sigma$.
I seek the approximate variance of the angle from the origin to $(X,Y)$.
What I've tried:
The answer (variance of angle) is invariant to
- scaling of the plane about the origin.
- rotation of the plane about the origin, since $X-\mu_X$ and $Y-\mu_Y$ are i.i.d. Gaussian rv's.
So we can transform $(X,Y)$ to $(X',Y')$ by
- rotating onto +x axis so that $\mu_{Y'}=0$ and $\mu_{X'}>0$.
- scaling such that $\sigma'=1$.
At this point, the problem is to approximate the variance of $\arctan_2(Y',X')$ where
$$X'\sim N(r,1)$$ $$Y'\sim N(0,1)$$ where $r=\frac{\sqrt{\mu_X^2+\mu_Y^2}}{\sigma}$ is given from the original observations.
Aside:
This answer shows how to arrive at a p.d.f. for $\arctan(Y'/X')$ with key term
$$ \exp(-\frac{2r^2\tan^2\theta}{2+\tan^2\theta}) $$
but this p.d.f. repeats over a period of $\pi$ instead of $2\pi$ as it counts the opposite direction as well. My intention is to consider the variance of the angle's distribution from $-\pi$ to $\pi$ (in the rotated scenario where $(X',Y')$ is on +x axis).
I only seek the (approximate, say for $r>2$) variance, not the distribution.