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I have plotted IRF in stata with response S&P500 and impulse treasury bill rate. According to the model they are positively related. However, my irf graph is below zero(see the graph below). How do I interpret such a result?impulse(LTBR) response(LSP)

mpiktas
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Mansur
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1 Answers1

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Shock to t-bills results in a negative response in S&P500. It could be that higher t-bill rates depress S&P500. Your VAR may not be dynamically stable as the IRF does not die out.

mr.rox
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